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Return on investment

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The real return on an off-plan property in Dubai: after purchase and selling costs, calculated on the full price.

≈ USD 408,441 · 1 USD = 3.6725 AED (currency peg)

On booking 20%
During construction 40%
booking construction handover40%
Time to handover 36 mo
Advanced assumptions
Appreciation to handover 10%
what does this mean?

Value growth from purchase to handover. Brochures assume 20%+; a cautious model is 0 to 10%. You are buying after a 6-year rally, stagnation or a correction is possible.

Selling costs 2.5%

ROI on paid-in capital

5.4%

over 36 months · 10% appreciation

ROI on full price

3.2%

over 36 months · 10% appreciation

Where the number comes from

Value at handover (+10%)1,650,000 AED
Capital paid in by handover (60%)900,000 AED
Purchase costs (4% DLD + admin fees)−60,580 AED
Selling costs (2.5%)−41,250 AED
Capital gain48,170 AED

Where the advertised "30% ROI" comes from

Brochures calculate profit against the down payment only, assume 20%+ appreciation and skip purchase and selling costs. Above, the same numbers are calculated on the full price, after costs.

Golden Visa: from AED 2,000,000. At this price you are AED 500,000 short of the threshold.

Indicative figures, at 1 AED ≈ 1 PLN (2026). This is not an offer nor investment advice. Sources: DLD, Property Monitor, Knight Frank.

Market data: Dubai Land Department, dane otwarte (transakcje 2026) oraz Property Monitor (yieldy) · updated 11.07.2026

Full assumptions and methodology
  • Prices and transaction volumes: Dubai Land Department open data, 2026 transactions (January to July). District yields in the “Districts in numbers” section: Property Monitor (2026).
  • Off-plan purchase costs: 4% DLD and admin fees (AED 580). The buyer pays no agency commission, the developer covers it.
  • Value at handover = price times (1 + appreciation, default 10%). Selling costs default to 2.5% of the exit value. ROI is shown both on paid-in capital and on the full price.
  • Exchange rates: 1 USD = 3.6725 AED (hard peg), 1 AED ≈ 1 PLN, 1 EUR ≈ 4.25 AED (as of 07.2026).
  • The model omits: mortgage financing, taxes in the investor’s country of residence, individual tax reliefs and fit-out costs. Formulas: our own work based on DLD fee schedules and market practice.

Market data: Dubai Land Department, dane otwarte (transakcje 2026) oraz Property Monitor (yieldy) · updated 11.07.2026

These calculations are indicative. Historical data and estimates do not guarantee future returns. Actual profitability depends on the market, costs, vacancy and the AED/PLN exchange rate.

Market data

Districts in numbers

+62% since 2018

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000201820202022202420261,913

The 2026 point is the median of DLD transactions (January to July). Years 2018 to 2025 are approximated from city-wide dynamics, not district medians.

Gross yield · top 5 districts

JVC7.4%
Business Bay6.8%
Dubai Marina6.2%
Downtown5.7%
Palm Jumeirah5.5%

Gross yield, before costs and tax. For comparing direction, not for forecasting.

Compare districts

Comparison of selected Dubai districts: price per sqft, yields and transaction volume
Metric DowntownDubai MarinaJVC
Median price per sqft (AED) 2,9411,9131,487
Gross yield 5.7%6.2%7.4%
Net yield after Polish tax 3.0%3.5%4.3%
Service charge (AED/sqft/yr) 301815
Transactions, 2026 YTD 1,1841,1005,552

Net yield calculated with the calculator engine for an 800 sqft unit at the district median price: after service charge, 6% management, 5% insurance & reserve, 1 month of vacancy and the Polish 8.5% / 12.5% lump-sum tax.

Market data: Dubai Land Department, dane otwarte (transakcje 2026) oraz Property Monitor (yieldy) · updated 11.07.2026

Historical data does not guarantee future returns.

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